My opponent keeps leaning on the under-nine-percent figure, but that's an access statistic, not a quality measure. The structural problem is that expanding from four to twelve doesn't just add good teams; it adds lower-seeded, multi-loss teams whose resumes are thinner, which raises the probability of mismatches like the 2024 first round's average 19-point margin. Yes, one four-game sample is small, and the four-team era had blowouts too. But the burden is on expansionists to show competitive balance and opt-out rates improve, not just that more fanbases get a November game. Early evidence points the other way.