Take D-Wave: sold as commercial quantum computers since 2011, yet still no verified, practical speedup over classical optimizers on real problems. That's the precedent. Hype promises broad commercial advantage; the burden is on the other side to show reproducible, useful quantum advantage, not contrived lab samples. Quantum systems remain noisy, error prone, and need extreme cooling. Classical algorithms keep catching up, as Google's 2019 supremacy claim showed. Until that burden is met, the reasonable verdict is skepticism: quantum computing may find niches, but it won't live up to the hype.