I hear you on the variability—home energy efficiency does matter, and in some edge cases, an inefficient home could offset the commute savings. That's a fair concern, and I don't want to dismiss it.
But here's where I land: for the average person, the commute is a guaranteed, daily-spewed chunk of emissions, while home energy use is something you're already doing anyway. That hour stuck in traffic twice a day is pure waste. When you work from home, that disappears completely, while the office building still burns energy keeping the lights on and the AC humming for the 30 percent of staff who do show up.
Also, remote work gives people the flexibility to live somewhere more efficient—smaller apartments, better insulated homes, places where they don't need to drive everywhere. So the overall trend pushes us toward lower emissions, even if a few specific cases go the other way. On the whole, staying home wins.
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