Here's a number worth sitting with: in best-of-seven series the stronger side wins roughly three quarters of the time, but in single-elimination games it's closer to a coin flip. That gap isn't trivia, it's the whole argument. My opponent says Round 1 forces someone to own a verdict, and fair enough, ownership has value. But owning a wrong verdict isn't courage, it's just confidence misplaced. The other side's best point is that endless context debates never decide anything. True. Still, deciding badly and deciding well aren't the same thing. One match crowns whoever showed up that day, not the greatest.