Their own number makes my case: over 70 trending songs reached the Hot 100, but how many trended and went nowhere? That's a filter, not a verdict. The stronger test is the reverse direction: a large share of Hot 100 hits never caught fire on TikTok at all, arriving via radio adds, playlist placement, or a sync. If the app decided, that flow wouldn't exist. Being the first gate matters, sure, but a first gate that lets through more failures than winners isn't the decider. It's a very loud audition, and the industry still hands out the contract.