The real question isn't whether vaccines work, it's whether the state should force them. belmondwo trusts the trials, and mostly I do too. But near zero isn't zero: the 1976 swine flu program showed rare harms surface after rollout, and mandates rarely include easy compensation. More importantly, mandates don't build the trust outbreaks require. Nigeria's polio rebound eased through local leaders and door to door vaccinators, not compulsion. A coerced shot may raise a number, but it can also harden refusal and turn medicine into a political fight. Persuasion with access scales better.