exactly voters usually punish those in power the one in power in ohio and texas are republicans james is very very close with a slight margin ahead in polls so he will prob win texas even tho it has been a stronghold the republican is surrounded with controversies and whatnot, iin Ohio there is brown he has an advantage both in money 60mil raised, as well as endorsements, he is slightly ahead so he will win while 2nd moreover in NC the republicans have pulled out, in maine even tho the democrat had far lesser time for campaining he has raised more money and most polls show that the democrat has a greater chance in michigan abdul will win just like mamdani due to the overwhelming same characteristics as well as he close race, but since traditionally it is a democrt household and a fresh type of democrat has entered it democrats will win